There is a tendency to build procedures and security responses on probability, wishful thinking, personal interpretation and other human based mechanisms that interfere with the operational work of observing, identifying, communicating and exercising plans of action that are based on concrete facts.
In fact, if a security doctrine and uniform line of action would exist, there would be far less human error and threats could be based on concrete data, risks would be measured according to realistic scenarios rather than probability, which would make the security apparatus much smarter in early detection and reaction.The future of security lies in our capability of performing our activities through mechanisms that limit distortion and misinterpretation of events. This vulnerability is being taken advantage by the opponents which rely on our inability to be concrete in our activities.
On the one hand, the security system collects information on all of our activities, yet security methods are built upon assumptions and probabilities, which clearly, seldom are in alliance with the real situation, making intelligence services, leaders, security operatives extremely vulnerable to distorted patterns and decision making errors.
The price of the error will ultimately become more expensive and create a thicker gap between what we think and what there really is. This gap will create new threats which will not be able to be solved through interpretation and distortion or wishful thinking. The scientific/operational aspect of security must be developed into a full scale strategy.